Abstract：Objective To analyze the death status and changing trend of cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases in Duanzhou district of Zhaoqing city from 2012 to 2018, and to provide a basis for formulating measures for prevention and control of cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases. Methods We collected the registered data regarding deaths in Duanzhou district of Zhaoqing city from 2012 to 2018, then analyzed the crude mortality rate, standardized mortality rate and annual percentage change (APC) of cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases, and finally predicted the mortality rates of cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases in 2022 and 2030. Results The average crude mortality rate of cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases in household registered population in Duanzhou district of Zhaoqing city during 2012-2018 was 180.45/100,000 (therates in males, females, cardiovascular diseases and cerebrovascular diseases were 203.79/100,000, 156.72/100,000,99.27/100,000 and 81.18/100,000, respectively). The crude mortality rate showed an upward trend, APC was 0.40%, and no statistically significant difference was found in the trend change (P=0.693). The average standardized mortality rate of cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases was 81.94/100,000 (the rates in males, females, cardiovascular diseases and cerebrovascular diseases were 102.91/100,000, 60.81/100,000, 45.03/100,000 and 36.90 /100,000, respectively). The standardized mortality rate showed a downward trend, APC was -2.66%, and there were statistically significant differences in the change trend (P=0.011). Apart from the age group of 80-84 years, the crude mortality rate of cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases were higher in males than in females in the age groups of 35 years or above (P<0.05). The crude mortality rates of cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases increased with the increasing age, and the differences in the trend change were statistically significant (P=0.000). On the basis of the average annual change rate from 2012 to 2018, it was predicted that the mortality rate of cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases in Duanzhou district of Zhaoqing city in 2022 and 2030 would be 191.13/100,000 and 201.64/100,000, respectively. Conclusions It is necessary to adopt targeted prevention and control measures for cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases so as to effectively reduce the incidence and mortality rates of cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases and achieve control target of the healthy China action.
梁大艳, 陆素颖, 方艺娟. 2012—2018年肇庆市端州区心脑血管疾病死亡状况及趋势分析[J]. 实用预防医学, 2020, 27(8): 960-964.
LIANG Da-yan, LU Su-ying, FANG Yi-juan. Death status and trend of cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases in Duanzhou district of Zhaoqing city, 2012-2018. , 2020, 27(8): 960-964.
2020, Vol. 27 
