Original Article
YAN Yongfeng, WANG Jun, DING Lulu, XU Yuanyou, YANG Juan, ZHU Jian
Objective To analyze the disease burdens of and changing trends in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) due to smoking in China from 1990 to 2021, and to provide a basis for formulating targeted prevention and control strategies for COPD. Methods Based on the research data of the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021 (GBD 2021), we selected the data related to COPD caused by smoking in different years, genders and age groups from 1990 to 2021, and then analyzed the disease burdens of COPD caused by smoking in China by using the indicators like population attributable fraction (PAF), the mortality rate and disability adjusted life year (DALY) rate. The analysis results were compared with the global average levels. Joinpoint 4.7.0.0 software was used to calculate the average annual percent change (AAPC) and analyze the changing trends. Results The PAF value and number of death cases of COPD caused by smoking in China increased from 43.55% and 538,700 cases in 1990 to 43.81% and 563,200 cases in 2021. The mortality rate, DALY rate, standardized mortality rate and standardized DALY rate of COPD caused by smoking in China decreased from 45.79/100,000, 955.71/100,000, 96.37/100,000 and 1,627.97/100,000 in1990 to 39.58/100,000, 716.04/100,000, 31.17/100,000 and 515.69/100,000 in 2021 respectively. The mortality rates, standardized mortality rates, DALY rates and standardized DALY rates of COPD caused by smoking for males and females in China and the world showed downward trends, all the indicators were higher in males than in females, and the disease burdens of COPD caused by smoking for males and females in China were higher than the global levels. The mortality rates and DALY rates of COPD caused by smoking in China and the world continuously increased with the increasing age, with the highest peak in the group aged 85 years and above. The mortality rates and DALY rates of different age groups in China were all higher than the global levels. From 1990 to 2021, the standardized mortality rates of COPD caused by smoking in China and the world showed downward trends, with the AAPC values being -3.627% and -1.983% respectively, and the standardized DALY rates also showed downward trends, with the AAPC values being -3.694% and -2.070% respectively, showing statistically significant differences in all the changing trends (P<0.05). Conclusions Although the changes of disease burdens caused by smoking in China from 1990 to 2021 showed downward trends, they were still higher than the global levels. Due to the development of aging population, the situation of disease burdens of COPD is still grim. It is necessary to strengthen tobacco control and improve the smoking cessation rate of high-risk groups so as to reduce the disease burdens of COPD caused by smoking.