Abstract:Objective To analyze the economic burden of chickenpox outbreaks and the benefits-cost of varicella vaccine immunization in schools in Longhua District of Shenzhen City, and to provide references for economic evaluation of varicella epidemic management. Methods The total economic burden of chickenpox epidemics was investigated and calculated from the individual and society perspective. The dynamics model of infectious diseases was used to estimate the incidence of the epidemics, and the effectiveness and benefit-cost ratio (BCR) of emergency vaccination were evaluated. Results A total of 188 chickenpox casesin schoolsin Longhua District in 2019-2020 were reported, with about 12 children affected in each outbreak. 90.96% of the children affected were treated by outpatient therapy, 89.89% of them got recovery within 15 days, and 77.13% were breakthrough cases. The average family economic burden was 1,744.41 Yuan, and the social and economic burden per person of each epidemic in the two years was 368.03 Yuan, with the total economic burden being 2,112.44 Yuan. The number of cases could be reduced by 90% when the proportion of emergency vaccination reached 50% in kindergartens and 80% in schools. Emergency vaccination within 0.5 incubation period after the first case of the disease could reduce the number of cases in kindergartens and schools to 7.11% and 9.21% of those not implemented. The BCR of emergency vaccination for each outbreak was more than 14 after accounting for the socio-economic burden. There was a statistically significant difference in the BCR between kindergartens and schools at different vaccination time (t=5.176, P<0.05), and the BCR of kindergartens was significantly higher than that of schools. Conclusion Emergency vaccination can reduce the heavy economic burden brought by chickenpox. A higher BCR can be achieved when immunization strategies are in place. The effect of emergency vaccination on control of chickenpox epidemics in kindergartens is more remarkable.
[1] 孙冬,张梅光,孙龙,等.2014—2015年开封市水痘患者经济负担及影响因素分析[J].河南预防医学杂志,2017,28(10):730-733. [2] 索罗丹,张一华,李娟,等.北京市一起幼儿园水痘突发公共卫生事件的社会经济负担调查[J].中国学校卫生,2015,36(9):1361-1363,1368. [3] 索罗丹,杨帆,李娟,等.北京市幼儿园和小学水痘暴发疫情控制成本分析[J].首都公共卫生,2017,11(2):61-64. [4] 马茂,刘卫民,杨洁,等.深圳市某区2013年水痘疫苗接种儿童抗体水平横断面研究[J].实用预防医学,2015,22(12):1451-1453. [5] 吕鸿鑫, 古子豪, 陈宏标,等.深圳市龙华区托幼及小学儿童罹患水痘及应急接种影响因素分析[J].实用预防医学,2021,28(6):718-722. [6] 杨剑. 克拉玛依市水痘流行特征及医疗费用研究[D].北京:中国疾病预防控制中心,2017. [7] Zha WT, Pang FR, Zhou N, et al. Research about the optimal strategies for prevention and control of varicella outbreak in a school in a central city of China: based on an SEIR dynamic model[J]. Epidemiol Infect,2020, 148:1-8. [8] Gao Z,Wood JG,Gidding HF,et al. Control of varicella in the post-vaccination era in Australia: a model-based assessment of catch-up and infant vaccination strategies for the future[J]. Epidemiol Infect, 2015, 143(7):1467-1476. [9] 吕鸿鑫,古子豪,刘晓忠,等.深圳市龙华区托幼及小学儿童水痘发病与疫苗接种现况[J].中国学校卫生,2021,42(1):112-115. [10] 涂正波,徐群英,万刚凤,等.南昌市红谷滩新区水痘经济负担及疫苗免疫的成本效益分析[J].中国公共卫生管理,2019,35(2):164-167. [11] 郑庆鸣,王铁强.时滞离散SEIR模型在评价水痘暴发疫情防控措施效果中的应用[J].疾病监测,2017, 32(10/11): 883-889. [12] 刘刚,刘卫民,潘彩珠,等.广东省深圳市水痘病例疾病经济负担调查分析[J].医学动物防制,2017,33(10):1054-1056. [13] 彭毅,费怡,任亚萍,等.上海市浦东新区学校水痘聚集性疫情分析[J].热带医学杂志,2016,16(12):1568-1570. [14] 修仕信.2017年无锡市水痘病例疾病负担分析[J].现代预防医学,2019,46(12):2201-2204. [15] 刘家洁,李银乔,刘丽珺,等.2015—2017年成都市某医院水痘患者直接医疗负担分析[J].职业卫生与病伤,2019,34(6):356-359,365. [16] Tang X, Zhao S, Chiu APY, et al. Modelling the transmission and control strategies of varicella among school children in Shenzhen, China.[J]. PLoS One,2017,12(5):e0177514. [17] 周路平,石晓娟,周洋,等.宁夏3~5岁幼托儿童水痘疫苗接种率及影响因素调查[J].现代预防医学,2020,47(2):336-339,362.