Impact of average daily temperature on non-accidental deaths of residents at seven monitoring sites in Xinjiang, 2015-2019
LIAO Peihua1, ZHANG Rong1, FUERHATI Wushouer1, LIU Laixin1, ZHE Wei1, WANG Tie2
1. Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Urumqi, Xinjiang 830002, China; 2. Climate Center of Xinjiang Meteorological Bureau, Urumqi, Xinjiang 830002, China
Abstract:Objective To analyze and evaluate the effect of average daily temperature on the total number of non-accidental deaths (A00-R99) in the population at seven national cause-of-death monitoring sites in Xinjiang, and to provide a scientific basis for health decision making. Methods We collected the total non-accidental death information and meteorological and air quality data of the seven national cause-of-death monitoring sites in Xinjiang from 2015 to 2019. The influence and lag effect ofaverage daily temperature and non-accidental deaths were studied by using the distributed lag non-linear model (DLNM). Results The average daily temperature of the seven monitoring sites in Xinjiang showed a “J” shaped relationship with the non-accidentaldeaths of residents, and the lowest risk temperature of death was 17 ℃. The relative risk value (95%CI) ofresidents' total non-accidentaldeaths on high temperature day was 1.031(1.019-1.043), and the harm effect reached the maximum, with a lag being 5 days. Among different ages and gender groups, high temperature had a greater impact on the risk of non-accidental death in women and people aged ≥65 years. Hypothermia showed no significant health risk and lagging effect on total deaths and in different ages and sexes. Conclusion High temperature can increase the risk of non-accidental death of residents, with obvious acute effects in the early stage. Moreover, there is a lagging effect, and women and people aged ≥65 years are sensitive groups.
廖佩花, 张荣, 甫尔哈提·吾首尔, 刘来新, 者炜, 王铁. 2015—2019年新疆7个监测点日均气温对居民非意外死亡的影响分析[J]. 实用预防医学, 2024, 31(2): 159-163.
LIAO Peihua, ZHANG Rong, FUERHATI Wushouer, LIU Laixin, ZHE Wei, WANG Tie. Impact of average daily temperature on non-accidental deaths of residents at seven monitoring sites in Xinjiang, 2015-2019. , 2024, 31(2): 159-163.